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Two weeks into the reservation period, the latest data from LADWP’s Feed-in Tariff program reveals that the first 20 MW tranche has been fully subscribed. Indeed, the “large” system category (150 kW to 3 MW) was fully subscribed in the first few projects drawn from the lottery whereas the “small” category (30-150 kW) took the full two weeks to be subscribed. Here’s our analysis of what we can glean so far.
Under the FiT Guidelines, projects sited in the remote Owens Valley (oddly enough, part of LADWP’s service area) were capped at an aggregate 4 MW. Given that land is relatively cheap out there, at least compared to real estate prices within the City proper, it was expected that only larger projects would be proposed. Moreover, the Base Price for Energy to be paid was set at 3¢/kWh less than that to be paid for all other projects to account for the transmission losses in getting Owens Valley energy to the City.
Despite all of that, Owens Valley was very popular, with a total of 29 projects proposed to date totaling 65.7 MW, substantially more capacity than that designated for LA. No fewer than 18 of the proposed 29 projects were for the maximum size allowed under the program, 3 MW. (Somewhat surprisingly, there were three projects submitted at the limit of the small range in the Owens Valley. Apart from those, the smallest project proposed was 1.014 MW - which, curiously, was proposed twice.)
One company dominated the proposals, Ecos Energy, LLC, with 14 projects proposed for 31.95 MW. They got lucky in the lottery, drawing the first two lottery numbers for Owens Valley projects. with a combined total of 6 MW.
In the City proper, the numbers look quite different. A total of 57 projects were proposed in the large category for a total of 44.3 MW, but in contrast with the Owens Valley, only one project was proposed at the maximum possible size of 3 MW. Instead, the majority of large projects in the City were much smaller - averaging 778 kW with 500 kW being the most popular size (4 such projects proposed).
In the small project category, 38 projects were proposed to reach the 4 MW limit. The average system size proposed was 106 kW; however the most common size was the maximum for the category, 150 kW which was proposed 5 times.
So where are these systems going? The data does not provide street addresses, but it does provide zip codes for the proposed projects. Here are the top ten zip codes by number of proposed projects:
Nine of the top ten zip codes are in the northern end of the City, with only one zip code, 90502, in the City core (Carson).
And here is a map of the zip codes with two or more potential projects (click image to access interactive map):
Part of the goal of the FiT was to provide economic opportunity for local companies and local workers. However, there were no carve-outs or preferences for local companies in the FiT Guidelines. So how did the “locals” do?
Let’s focus on companies proposing projects in the City proper (thereby ignoring the dominant player in the Owens Valley - Minnesota-based Ecos Energy, LLC.)
Eleven companies proposed two or more projects in the large category for a total of 34 out of the 57: SEC ESSD Solar One, LLC (5 proposals / 3.5 MW), Sun Energy Partners III, LLC (4 / 1.86 MW), SunStarter Solar XC LLC (4 / 2.7 MW), CA Solar One LLC (3 / 1.4 MW), SunStarter Solar XXII LLC (3 / 1.12 MW), CEGALLIANCE (3 / 3.5 MW), Fallbrook Center Solar, LLC (3 / 1 MW), MRB Solar, LLC (3 / 2.165 MW), Extra Space Management Inc. (2 / 501 kW), Century Quality Management (2 / 570 kW), and OM Solar LLC (2 / 4.5 MW).
Eight companies proposed two or more projects in the small category for a total of 25 out of the 38: Extra Space Management Inc. (6 / 824 kW), OM Solar LLC (5 / 674 kW), SEC ESSD Solar One, LLC (3 / 400 kW), Broadstreet Energy Corp. (3 / 112 kW), The Ryzmn Family Trust Dated 8/20/89 (2 / 151 kW), SunStarter Solar XXII LLC (2 / 250 kW), SunStarter Solar XC LLC (2 / 300 kW), and OYA Energy Partners LLC (2 / 100 kW).
Collectively, here are the top ten companies proposing projects in the City:
Three of the top ten companies are LLC’s whose headquarters cannot be readily identified, although one of them, SunStarter XC LLC is most likely related to SunStarter XXII LLC out of Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
The other two - MRB Solar and CA Solar One come up empty in both Google searches and with the California Secretary of State’s office - raising the likelihood that they are actually out-of-state corporations. Of the seven that can be identified with some confidence, three are from California but four are not.
Of course, the company that is the applicant is by not necessarily the company that will be the installer so there is still a decent chance that these projects will boost local employment. But it appears that for as many as 70% of the top applicants, we have no such assurances.
So what can we learn from this? Three points seem to come out of this data:
Overall, the program seems to be off to a promising start. With some minor adjustments - and assuming that the proposed projects can actually be built - LA could really have a program that could serve as a model for the rest of the nation.
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